Polymarket Market

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Live
Probability
12%
Volume
$3.59M
Liquidity
$180.42K
Ends
Jun 21, 2026
Best bid
11%
Best ask
12%
Spread
1%
Last trade
12%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 11.5% Current quote
No 88.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
88%
Depth
231,149.06 / 462,241.85

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%29,500.66
2%27,811.85
3%4,897.07
4%900
5%890
7%93,399
8%27,176.72
9%39,144.52

Asks

PriceSize
99%77,012.04
98%56,684.76
97%22,208.34
96%17,666.66
95%19,710
94%3,850
93%5,566.66
92%150

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 12% 83.33 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 12% 8.33 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 11% 15 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 11% 150 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 12% 73.67 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 12% 8.33 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    No 89% 287 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 11% 5 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 11% 1 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 12% 489.17 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 11% 153.84 shares
  • Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    Yes 12% 82 shares