Polymarket Market
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
- Probability
- 12%
- Volume
- $3.59M
- Liquidity
- $180.42K
- Ends
- Jun 21, 2026
- Best bid
- 11%
- Best ask
- 12%
- Spread
- 1%
- Last trade
- 12%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 88%
- Depth
- 231,149.06 / 462,241.85
Price history
Waiting for price history
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 29,500.66 |
| 2% | 27,811.85 |
| 3% | 4,897.07 |
| 4% | 900 |
| 5% | 890 |
| 7% | 93,399 |
| 8% | 27,176.72 |
| 9% | 39,144.52 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 77,012.04 |
| 98% | 56,684.76 |
| 97% | 22,208.34 |
| 96% | 17,666.66 |
| 95% | 19,710 |
| 94% | 3,850 |
| 93% | 5,566.66 |
| 92% | 150 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 15 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 150 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 73.67 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 89% 287 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 5 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 1 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 489.17 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 11% 153.84 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 12% 82 shares