Polymarket Market
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Live
- Probability
- 16.2%
- Volume
- $13.67M
- Liquidity
- $668.79K
- Ends
- Nov 7, 2028
- Best bid
- 16.1%
- Best ask
- 16.2%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 16.2%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 16.1%
- Depth
- 3,726,109.19 / 10,633,145.21
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 2,232,468 |
| 0.2% | 1,022,446.7 |
| 0.3% | 130,618.89 |
| 0.4% | 9,914 |
| 0.5% | 27,000 |
| 0.6% | 5,000 |
| 0.7% | 800 |
| 1% | 24,300 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 47,324.33 |
| 99.8% | 5,007,500 |
| 99.7% | 10,000 |
| 99.6% | 5,008.51 |
| 99.5% | 222,222 |
| 99.4% | 5,500 |
| 99% | 2,017,086.31 |
| 98.9% | 600,005.56 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.9% 8 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 292 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 493.83 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.1% 6.17 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 6.17 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.1% 6.25 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.8% 12 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 332 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 24.69 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.1% 576 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 12.35 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.1% 69 shares