Polymarket Market
Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.
Live
- Probability
- 10.6%
- Volume
- $524.6
- Liquidity
- $1.51K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
- Best bid
- 0.5%
- Best ask
- 18.4%
- Spread
- 17.9%
- Last trade
- 10.6%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 28.2%
- Depth
- 4,192.99 / 42,495.06
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 3,974 |
| 0.2% | 100 |
| 0.3% | 98.99 |
| 0.5% | 20 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 55.93 |
| 99% | 32,000 |
| 97% | 600 |
| 96.9% | 10.84 |
| 93% | 5,585.7 |
| 87% | 3,007.68 |
| 84% | 450 |
| 70% | 400 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?No 71.7% 41.84 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 10.6% 9.1 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 10.8% 6.88 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 8.6% 5 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 17.6% 1.42 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 45% 4.17 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?No 54.9% 9.11 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 45% 0.83 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 70.1% 1.43 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 28.3% 3.04 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?Yes 65.6% 3.04 shares
- Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?No 4.9% 5 shares