Polymarket Market

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

Live
Probability
21%
Volume
$24.65K
Liquidity
$23.65K
Ends
Sep 20, 2026
Best bid
20%
Best ask
21%
Spread
1%
Last trade
21%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 20.5% Current quote
No 79.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
4%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
51.5%
Spread
95%
Last trade
79%
Depth
8,110.64 / 269,882.98

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
4%800
7%13.4
10%15
16%50
17%250
18%1,126.36
19%2,297.68
20%3,558.2

Asks

PriceSize
99%81,168.86
98%34,031.25
97%21,656.25
96%49,674.26
95%20
92%17,914.05
91%7,500
90%3,040

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 21% 4.76 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 312.5 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 20% 57.47 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 10 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 33.22 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 5 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 5 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 6.42 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 7.1 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 20% 54.99 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 29.41 shares
  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 80% 12.98 shares