Polymarket Market

Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Live
Probability
29%
Volume
$13.47K
Liquidity
$1.35K
Ends
Aug 11, 2026
Best bid
15%
Best ask
40%
Spread
25%
Last trade
29%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 27.5% Current quote
No 72.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
2%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50.5%
Spread
97%
Last trade
64%
Depth
7,750 / 4,482.75

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
2%100
4%1,000
5%2,550
6%2,100
7%2,000

Asks

PriceSize
99%1,800
98%50
89%400
84%245
83%30
79%400
75%400
74%383

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 64% 0.12 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 65% 5.03 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 65% 20.14 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    Yes 29% 48 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    Yes 31% 25 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 44% 0.18 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 44% 13 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 44% 11 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 44.7% 51.8 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    Yes 8% 0.04 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    Yes 8% 25 shares
  • Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
    No 69% 5.03 shares