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Polymarket Market

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
MarketLive pricing
Probability
14%
Volume
$6.2K
Liquidity
$9.26K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
14%
Best ask
15%
Spread
1%
Last trade
14%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 14.5% Current quote
No 85.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
8,223.29 / 84,832.84

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%4,756.18
2%632.03
3%25.29
4%5
5%1,105
6%644
7%200.14
8%13.23

Asks

PriceSize
99%8,040.12
98%21.56
97%6.66
96%36,444.05
95%22.09
91%12,275.13
87%8,605.85
86%22.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 14% 20 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 84.8% 212.83 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 83% 4.93 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 16% 5.55 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 83% 5.95 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 84% 5.95 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 17% 11.76 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 84% 17.86 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 16% 5 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 18% 5.56 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 84% 29.76 shares
  • Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 84% 47.62 shares