Polymarket Market

Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Live
Probability
35%
Volume
$9.24K
Liquidity
$42.51
Ends
Jun 9, 2026
Best bid
41%
Best ask
98%
Spread
57%
Last trade
35%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 69.5% Current quote
No 30.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
40%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
69.5%
Spread
59%
Last trade
54%
Depth
72.13 / 1,293.97

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
40%62.13
41%10

Asks

PriceSize
99%1,232.12
98%61.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 46% 111 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 47% 10 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 12% 3.25 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 20% 9.47 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 35% 1.02 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    No 65% 80 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 35.6% 119 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 35% 5 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 2.4% 5 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 11.1% 70 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 75% 7 shares
  • Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
    Yes 75% 5 shares