Polymarket Market

Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Tennessee, scheduled to take place on August 6, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Tennessee Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Tennessee Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Live
Probability
96.5%
Volume
$6.37K
Liquidity
$3.61K
Ends
Aug 6, 2026
Best bid
93.8%
Best ask
97%
Spread
3.2%
Last trade
96.5%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 95.4% Current quote
No 4.6% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.3%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50.1%
Spread
99.6%
Last trade
99.8%
Depth
40,618.95 / 2,606.43

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.3%10,000
1%8,000
4%5,600
7%4,500
10%900
12.2%2,780.32
13%667
16.3%1,937.11

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%107.27
99.8%28.9
99.1%1,874.08
99%50
98.9%31.4
98.6%300
98.5%26
98.4%13.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 0.2% 7.04 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 0.2% 20 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 5.8% 30 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 96.5% 10 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 3.9% 30 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 2.6% 72.31 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 97.4% 62.86 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 2.6% 15.25 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 95.2% 63.09 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    No 4.8% 50 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 95.1% 44.9 shares
  • Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
    Yes 95% 145 shares