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Polymarket Market

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Live
Probability
65%
Volume
$169.2K
Liquidity
$19.38K
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
Best bid
65%
Best ask
66%
Spread
1%
Last trade
65%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 65.5% Current quote
No 34.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
66%
Depth
76,107.93 / 295,667.07

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%18,090
2%16,800
4%13,500
5%1,000
8%8,500
9%2,600
10%900
11%1,263

Asks

PriceSize
99%68,061.59
98%91,500
97%42,340.22
96%5,357
95%28,100
94%7.72
93%15,864.14
91%10,677.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    No 34% 20 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    No 34% 20 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 65.1% 76.83 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 66% 3 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 67% 160.55 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 67% 2.01 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 66.5% 195.6 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 64.6% 186.36 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 63% 5 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    No 37% 0.08 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 61% 1.56 shares
  • Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 63% 5 shares
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