Polymarket Market

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Live
Probability
39.7%
Volume
$984.16K
Liquidity
$106.4K
Ends
Jun 2, 2026
Best bid
38.9%
Best ask
39.2%
Spread
0.3%
Last trade
39.7%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 39.1% Current quote
No 61% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
39.6%
Depth
480,116.16 / 3,964,028.92

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%105,006.36
0.2%3,007.5
0.3%22,275
0.4%14.51
1%5,015
1.1%1,500
1.2%3,000
1.3%11.3

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%3,010,005.19
99.8%508,366.31
99.7%10,000
99.6%5,000
99.5%20,005.57
99.4%2,500
99%59,796.25
98.9%40,000

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.4% 0.18 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 61% 278 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    Yes 39.7% 453.45 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    Yes 39.8% 12.67 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.2% 255 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    Yes 39.8% 22.42 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.2% 308 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.2% 3.32 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.2% 297 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.2% 321 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    Yes 39.9% 5 shares
  • Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
    No 60.2% 6.64 shares