Polymarket Market

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Live
Probability
55%
Volume
$369.93K
Liquidity
$17.59K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Best bid
54%
Best ask
56%
Spread
2%
Last trade
55%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 55% Current quote
No 45% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
55%
Depth
38,432.13 / 73,472.5

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%3,375
2%1,630.59
3%416.67
4%250
6%2,300
14%1,842
16%550
21%511.11

Asks

PriceSize
99%28,508.36
98%10,769.99
97%3,597
96%9,562.5
95%3,146.24
94%2,363.32
93%3,655.71
92%1,627.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 55% 1.82 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 55% 1.82 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 55% 1.82 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    No 45% 7.58 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    No 44% 200 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 2.23 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 1.79 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 2.23 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 2.55 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 2.55 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 2.54 shares
  • Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 56% 2.23 shares