Polymarket Market

Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Live
Probability
11%
Volume
$2.24K
Liquidity
$10.47K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
10%
Best ask
13%
Spread
3%
Last trade
11%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 11.5% Current quote
No 88.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
13%
Depth
3,193.36 / 80,239.94

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%2,000
3%133.33
6%394
7%220
8%63
9%155
10%228.03

Asks

PriceSize
99%8,000
95%29,875.24
91%12,275.13
86%7,600
82%6,554.23
77%4,420.69
74%657.69
73%3,022.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 87% 1.32 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 90% 1.32 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 87% 20 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 11% 11 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 88% 20 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 11% 10.64 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 88.2% 89.6 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 8% 20 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 90.3% 89.61 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 24% 10 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    No 89% 10 shares
  • Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027?
    Yes 10% 17.24 shares