Polymarket Market
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 13%
- Volume
- $17.62K
- Liquidity
- $9.49K
- Ends
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best bid
- 13%
- Best ask
- 14%
- Spread
- 1%
- Last trade
- 13%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- Unavailable
- Depth
- 848.99 / 89,464.04
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 130 |
| 2% | 15 |
| 3% | 14.43 |
| 4% | 191 |
| 6% | 8.35 |
| 8% | 5 |
| 10% | 61.96 |
| 11% | 90 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 8,027.11 |
| 98% | 17.16 |
| 97% | 6.66 |
| 96% | 37,944.05 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 94% | 9.49 |
| 91% | 13,175.13 |
| 90% | 900 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 86% 20 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?Yes 13% 3.75 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?Yes 13% 6.25 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?Yes 13% 32.74 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 85% 26.25 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 84.8% 102.74 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?Yes 16% 9 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 85% 2 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 84% 9.11 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 84% 9 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 86% 12.23 shares
- Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?No 86% 100 shares