Polymarket Market

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Probability
94%
Volume
$219.08K
Liquidity
$42.26K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
94.4%
Best ask
94.8%
Spread
0.4%
Last trade
94%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 94.6% Current quote
No 5.4% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
94.1%
Depth
283,276.85 / 36,941.7

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%17,055.39
0.2%11.41
0.3%40,000
0.5%30,000
0.6%50,000
0.7%13.17
2%34,800
5%28,392.29

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%8,483
99.8%1,143.48
99.7%33.58
99.2%7.67
99%1,121.54
98.9%7.17
98.6%2,803.71
98.5%7.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    No 5.9% 84.75 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94% 800 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94% 753 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.2% 1.06 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.6% 103 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.6% 121.54 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    No 5.4% 150 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.2% 2.06 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.3% 345.15 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.2% 17.58 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.2% 6.45 shares
  • Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
    Yes 94.5% 47 shares