Polymarket Market
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index between January 26, 2026, 11:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Live
- Probability
- 43%
- Volume
- $201.02
- Liquidity
- $457.22
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
- Best bid
- 9%
- Best ask
- 66%
- Spread
- 57%
- Last trade
- 43%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 35%
- Depth
- 584.45 / 1,960.5
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 268.58 |
| 2% | 15.52 |
| 3% | 155 |
| 4% | 6.82 |
| 5% | 50 |
| 6% | 10.04 |
| 7% | 30 |
| 8% | 32.79 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 69.43 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 93% | 100 |
| 92% | 100 |
| 90% | 100 |
| 89% | 6.16 |
| 77% | 100 |
| 75% | 110 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?No 35% 5 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?No 91% 5 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?No 30% 3.19 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?No 62% 3.19 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?No 58% 6 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 42% 12 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 40% 8.32 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 41% 5.09 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 41% 5.09 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 41% 5.09 shares
- Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Yes 41% 5.09 shares