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Polymarket Market

Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
82%
Volume
$151.56
Liquidity
$7.82K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
79%
Best ask
83%
Spread
4%
Last trade
82%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 81% Current quote
No 19% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
76,173.09 / 1,142.71

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%2,006.83
2%10.41
4%36,500
5%20
8%13,050
9%5.63
13%7,838.46
17%5,552.94

Asks

PriceSize
99%10.72
98%47
97%28.08
96%100
90%9.5
89%5.62
88%95
85%130

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    No 25% 4 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    No 24% 4.17 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    No 21% 2.36 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    Yes 82% 6.44 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    Yes 77% 9 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    No 23% 5 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    No 23% 30 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    Yes 84% 11.9 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    No 38% 25.58 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    Yes 65% 3.52 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    Yes 85% 1.18 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?
    Yes 85% 1.18 shares
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