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Polymarket Market

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
83%
Volume
$1.59K
Liquidity
$18.15K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
85%
Best ask
86%
Spread
1%
Last trade
83%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 85.5% Current quote
No 14.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
98%
Midpoint
49.5%
Spread
97%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
135,017.9 / 7,299.86

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%26,036.62
2%10
3%12.03
4%45,300
5%1,000
8%16.66
9%14,994.5
10%900

Asks

PriceSize
98%420.41
96%25
95%5.92
93%110
92%215.76
91%110
90%744.94
89%934.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 83% 60 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 83% 30 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 77.8% 31.99 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 79.7% 20.37 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 83% 23 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 83% 9 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 79.5% 19.56 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 80% 1.16 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    No 9% 1.5 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    No 12% 16.66 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 50% 0.29 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
    Yes 52% 39.93 shares
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