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Polymarket Market

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
76%
Volume
$3.75K
Liquidity
$2.09K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
72%
Best ask
73%
Spread
1%
Last trade
76%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 72.5% Current quote
No 27.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
24%
Depth
39,396.7 / 9,763.77

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%26,005
2%9.8
4%3,500
7%6,000
8%900
11%1,800
17%700
25%15.1

Asks

PriceSize
99%6,005.64
98%8.83
97%20
96%25.83
95%40
94%2,920
93%33.97
91%357

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 76% 10 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 77% 10 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 74% 17.32 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 78% 12.82 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 59% 5 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 50% 90 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 49% 5.6 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    No 50% 10 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    No 24% 0.4 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    No 22.3% 26 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    No 24% 26.4 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?
    Yes 75% 30 shares
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