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Polymarket Market

Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
8%
Volume
$180.53
Liquidity
$10.14K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
5%
Best ask
8%
Spread
3%
Last trade
92%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 6.5% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
4%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
51.5%
Spread
95%
Last trade
92%
Depth
1,798.72 / 68,082.85

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
4%50
5%1,748.72

Asks

PriceSize
99%2,027.94
98%26.2
97%13.43
95%29,520
91%11,688.88
86%7,300
85%6.4
81%4,989.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 92% 18 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 90.7% 61.2 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 90% 31 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 85% 12.38 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 80% 5 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 81% 13 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 85% 10.4 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 85% 6.67 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 13% 0.88 shares
  • Will the Democratic Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 72% 22 shares
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