Polymarket Market

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
86%
Volume
$16.06K
Liquidity
$9.03K
Best bid
85%
Best ask
89%
Spread
4%
Last trade
86%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 87% Current quote
No 13% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
98%
Midpoint
49.5%
Spread
97%
Last trade
15%
Depth
75,804.5 / 867.06

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%6,000
4%34,100
5%340
8%16.66
9%12,533.33
13%7,128.53
14%121
18%4,333.33

Asks

PriceSize
98%71
97%100
94%95
93%300.03
89%301.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 15% 8.4 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    Yes 86% 13.24 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 14% 64.76 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 15.5% 66.55 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 13% 2.5 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 13% 5 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 13% 51.13 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 13% 16.3 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    No 15.8% 142.67 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    Yes 85% 1.54 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    Yes 86% 1.54 shares
  • Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
    Yes 87% 1.55 shares