Polymarket Market

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Live
Probability
6.1%
Volume
$2.4M
Liquidity
$98.7K
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
Best bid
5.7%
Best ask
5.8%
Spread
0.1%
Last trade
6.1%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 5.8% Current quote
No 94.3% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
5.8%
Depth
490,414.44 / 489,443.31

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%222,674
0.2%75,000
0.3%40,361.55
0.4%8,000
0.7%10
0.8%15,056.52
1%8,587
1.1%22,692.2

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%20,095
99.8%7,500
99.7%40,000
99.6%5,000
99.5%30,000
99.4%2,500
99%84,750
98.9%10,000

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.2% 5.27 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.4% 5.28 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.2% 5.28 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.3% 5.28 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.3% 100 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.5% 1.5 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.3% 265.57 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.3% 178 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.3% 41.43 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 94.3% 15 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 93.9% 9.94 shares
  • Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    No 93.7% 27.16 shares