Polymarket Market

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
25%
Volume
$8.24K
Liquidity
$5.14K
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
Best bid
25%
Best ask
26%
Spread
1%
Last trade
25%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 25.5% Current quote
No 74.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
75%
Depth
25,709.28 / 40,157.6

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%13,898.64
4%6,124.66
5%300
6%800
9%2,111.11
10%1,475
13%400
19%328.87

Asks

PriceSize
99%9,000
96%7,044.05
93%3,200
90%3,317.62
89%1,000
88%667
87%1,461.53
84%2,911.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 25% 20 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    No 75% 20 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 26% 3.85 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 25% 40 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    No 75% 20.11 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 5.72 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 5.35 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 5.21 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 6.25 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 7.5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 9 shares
  • Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
    Yes 24% 10.8 shares