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Polymarket Market

Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
91%
Volume
$8.89K
Liquidity
$13.93K
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
Best bid
92%
Best ask
93%
Spread
1%
Last trade
91%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 92.5% Current quote
No 7.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
91%
Depth
152,475.69 / 9,247.2

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%74,050
2%12.25
5%30,920
9%10,655.55
12%1,867
14%8,100
16%700
19%4,855.26

Asks

PriceSize
99%108.14
98%45.69
96%74.11
95%2,582
94%4,763
93%1,674.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 91% 57.94 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 91% 11 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 91% 45.18 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 93% 45.18 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    No 9% 22.22 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 93% 10.75 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    No 7% 5.74 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    No 7% 13.81 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    No 7% 23.15 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 91% 464.1 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    Yes 91% 5.49 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
    No 8% 5.49 shares
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