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Polymarket Market

Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
22%
Volume
$267.59
Liquidity
$463.28
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
33%
Best ask
36%
Spread
3%
Last trade
22%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 34.5% Current quote
No 65.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
4,652.78 / 331.09

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%2,100
2%9.79
4%1,500
6%13
29%105.64
30%132.05
31%132.05
32%132.05

Asks

PriceSize
99%112.28
98%16.97
95%20
93%24
91%12.84
90%125
36%20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 35% 5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 34% 5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 33% 5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 36% 5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 31% 5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 74% 18.03 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 76% 5.84 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 22% 6.26 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 69% 6.46 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 35% 10 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    No 65% 10 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the MI-10 House seat?
    Yes 34% 93 shares
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