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Polymarket Market

Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
15%
Volume
$836.94
Liquidity
$6.8K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
23%
Best ask
24%
Spread
1%
Last trade
15%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 23.5% Current quote
No 76.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
76%
Depth
31,390.56 / 53,267.13

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%24,900
2%908.82
3%2,533
4%250
5%12.15
18%808.2
19%308.2
20%308.2

Asks

PriceSize
99%26,041.08
98%10
97%11.83
96%5,600
95%20
94%5.64
93%3,200
90%5,400

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    No 76% 50 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    No 76% 4.93 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    No 77% 74.93 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    No 77.4% 50 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    Yes 15.2% 297.93 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    Yes 13% 5.8 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    No 69% 6 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    No 63% 5 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    Yes 26.9% 55.55 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    Yes 45% 55.56 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    Yes 27.2% 41 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?
    Yes 34% 41 shares
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