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Polymarket Market

Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Live
Probability
91%
Volume
$707.72
Liquidity
$14.83K
Ends
Nov 4, 2026
Best bid
93%
Best ask
94%
Spread
1%
Last trade
91%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 93.5% Current quote
No 6.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
91%
Depth
112,908.2 / 6,321.05

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%26,027.46
2%17.28
3%6.66
5%36,000
6%9.39
9%14,088.88
10%900
14%10,267

Asks

PriceSize
99%12.71
98%1,291.51
97%1,194.66
96%749.32
95%2,005.85
94%1,067

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 91% 25 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 7% 20 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    No 9% 61 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 87.1% 221 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 80% 9 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 81% 1.57 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 57% 0.38 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 85% 1.58 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 84% 12 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 84% 12 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 83% 12 shares
  • Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?
    Yes 83% 12 shares
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