Polymarket Market

Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
21%
Volume
$25.41K
Liquidity
$2.19K
Best bid
32%
Best ask
36%
Spread
4%
Last trade
21%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 34% Current quote
No 66% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
79%
Depth
7,459.2 / 11,918.7

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%4,000
2%6.03
4%2,000
8%440
13%10
16%10
20%10
21%0.87

Asks

PriceSize
99%2,007.41
98%7.99
96%3,100
95%8.45
93%1,700
90%700
84%700
83%5.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 21.2% 52.63 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 31.8% 49.99 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    No 61% 19.41 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 39% 19.61 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 35% 12.61 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 35% 5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    No 63% 19.68 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    No 61% 7.93 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    No 63% 7.93 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    No 63% 25.37 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 40% 2.5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
    Yes 36% 237.49 shares