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Polymarket Market

Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
92%
Volume
$5.18K
Liquidity
$33.04K
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
Best bid
91%
Best ask
92%
Spread
1%
Last trade
92%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 91.5% Current quote
No 8.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
7%
Depth
719,669.86 / 18,437.01

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%368,050
2%211,506.03
5%30,320
6%20,000
7%2,857
9%12,153.33
10%13,200
11%800

Asks

PriceSize
99%106.79
98%30.29
97%9,964.99
96%327.65
95%2,356.78
94%4,672.08
93%958.43
92%20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    No 7% 57.56 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    No 8% 142.44 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 92% 2.72 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 91% 275.09 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    No 9% 1.56 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 10 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 87% 5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90% 5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 87% 18.51 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 89% 28 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
    No 11% 12 shares
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