Polymarket Market

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
43%
Volume
$37.89K
Liquidity
$21.58K
Best bid
43%
Best ask
44%
Spread
1%
Last trade
43%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 43.5% Current quote
No 56.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
43%
Depth
659,156.33 / 551,555.76

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%508,000
2%6.03
3%100,600
5%24,700
7%13,600
11%6,667
12%1,666
14%1,033

Asks

PriceSize
99%508,007.46
98%8.39
96%25,600
95%8.76
93%3,200
90%7,300
89%1,817
86%366

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 43% 5.7 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 44% 19.3 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 44% 5.7 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    No 57% 5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 44.1% 156.36 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    No 57% 10.11 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 44.1% 11.71 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 43% 78.29 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    No 56.5% 73 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 44% 5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 43% 326.1 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 43.6% 47.61 shares