Polymarket Market

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
93.6%
Volume
$11.06K
Liquidity
$10.39K
Best bid
90.2%
Best ask
93.5%
Spread
3.3%
Last trade
93.6%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 91.9% Current quote
No 8.2% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
80,508.06 / 3,658.21

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%1,602.06
1%6,000
1.1%10.23
5%27,220
6%4,166
9%12,033.33
9.5%40
10%900

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%1,843.53
99.8%260.6
98%500
97.9%200
97.8%55
97.7%8.86
97%120
96.9%16.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    No 6.4% 20.83 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 93.6% 2.87 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 93.5% 21.05 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90.5% 0.11 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    No 6.4% 6.62 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    No 5.6% 28.8 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 90.3% 5.37 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 93.5% 325.78 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    No 5% 9 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    No 5% 9 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    Yes 95% 1.64 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
    No 4.8% 20.83 shares