Polymarket Market

Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Live
Probability
80%
Volume
$6.74K
Liquidity
$8.96K
Best bid
80%
Best ask
84%
Spread
4%
Last trade
80%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 82% Current quote
No 18% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
81,278.96 / 1,119

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%8,000
2%6.03
4%33,500
8%11,000
10%900
13%7,828.53
17%5,788.23
21%3,542.85

Asks

PriceSize
99%100
98%17.85
97%5
96%60
95%18.55
94%55
93%347.63
92%423.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 80% 9 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 84% 9 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 81% 10.11 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 85% 10.12 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 80.3% 53.76 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    No 18% 20 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    No 16% 12.5 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 80.7% 13.03 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 85% 2.35 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 81% 10 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    Yes 85% 10 shares
  • Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
    No 18% 5.68 shares