Polymarket Market

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Live
Probability
3.9%
Volume
$518.93K
Liquidity
$21.69K
Ends
Sep 13, 2026
Best bid
3.2%
Best ask
3.7%
Spread
0.5%
Last trade
3.9%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 3.5% Current quote
No 96.6% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
64,896.06 / 162,977.02

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%57,298
0.2%3,376
0.5%1,095.12
0.6%674
1.4%248
1.6%102
2.2%402.95
2.3%517.49

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%6,008.74
99.8%7.64
99.7%10,000
99.6%23.31
99%39,500.01
98%4,875
97.9%6.88
97%10,083.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.9% 38 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.2% 39 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.9% 25 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.9% 14 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.9% 128.21 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    No 96.1% 5.55 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.3% 87.15 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.1% 270 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    No 96.2% 3.08 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    No 96.3% 63.48 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 3.2% 155.95 shares
  • Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    Yes 2.7% 34.93 shares