Polymarket Market
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 10%
- Volume
- $33.98M
- Liquidity
- $1.39M
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 9%
- Best ask
- 10%
- Spread
- 1%
- Last trade
- 10%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 91%
- Depth
- 3,363,602.24 / 1,590,152.82
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 2,195,282.59 |
| 2% | 124,923.57 |
| 3% | 230,812 |
| 4% | 111,478.44 |
| 5% | 68,639.24 |
| 6% | 90,951.97 |
| 7% | 387,779.09 |
| 8% | 73,800.21 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 6,364.58 |
| 98% | 5,229.55 |
| 97% | 6,864.1 |
| 96% | 518 |
| 95% | 2,420 |
| 93% | 2,728.57 |
| 92% | 128 |
| 91% | 5.56 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 51.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 5.49 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 62.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 63.84 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 16.3 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 58.56 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 90% 41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 549.45 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 659.34 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 549.45 shares