Polymarket Market

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Probability
67%
Volume
$1.62K
Liquidity
$1.42K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
21%
Best ask
44%
Spread
23%
Last trade
67%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 32.5% Current quote
No 67.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
202.34 / 2,307.69

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%9.27
2%17
3%6.15
4%10
5%10
6%15
7%15
8%6.33

Asks

PriceSize
99%20.71
95%20
94%9.61
88%541.66
83%558.82
80%475
75%350
73%55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    No 57% 10.75 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    Yes 67% 14.93 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    No 73.5% 20.4 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    No 57% 1.38 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    No 72% 1.39 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    Yes 30.2% 47 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    Yes 42% 1.81 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    Yes 16% 22 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    No 84% 22 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    Yes 21.5% 34 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    Yes 21% 14 shares
  • Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
    No 79% 4.69 shares