Polymarket Market
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Live
- Probability
- 34%
- Volume
- $6.16K
- Liquidity
- $2.16K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 39%
- Best ask
- 51%
- Spread
- 12%
- Last trade
- 34%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 1%
- Best ask
- 99%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Last trade
- 50%
- Depth
- 21,897.71 / 17,888.48
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 1% | 12,908.9 |
| 2% | 500 |
| 3% | 1,802.96 |
| 5% | 4,281.78 |
| 6% | 100 |
| 7% | 280 |
| 10% | 150 |
| 11% | 34 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99% | 8,629.24 |
| 98% | 6.94 |
| 95% | 4,125.84 |
| 92% | 578.65 |
| 91% | 9.34 |
| 85% | 1,708.61 |
| 84% | 562.32 |
| 81% | 32 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?No 50% 10 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?No 46% 1.61 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?No 52.2% 80 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 34% 0.18 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 41% 0.46 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?No 59% 7.04 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 32% 9.02 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 35% 11.8 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 38.5% 40.07 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 38% 7.46 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Yes 38% 7.46 shares
- Will Trump deport 400-500k people?No 58% 0.9 shares