Polymarket Market
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 4.7%
- Volume
- $51.24K
- Liquidity
- $16.56K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 3.9%
- Best ask
- 4%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 4.7%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 4.1%
- Depth
- 98,725.24 / 232,937.74
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 66,573 |
| 0.2% | 4,332 |
| 0.3% | 1,667 |
| 0.4% | 750 |
| 1% | 1,929.29 |
| 1.2% | 5,611.11 |
| 1.3% | 385 |
| 1.5% | 10,000 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 2,000 |
| 99.7% | 40,000 |
| 99.5% | 30,000 |
| 99.4% | 50,000 |
| 99% | 500 |
| 98% | 34,800 |
| 95% | 17,775.24 |
| 94% | 4,166 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 95.9% 2 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 95.9% 2 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 95.9% 2 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 2.02 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 2.02 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 2.02 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No 96.1% 1.04 shares