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Polymarket Market

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
MarketLive pricing
Probability
8.5%
Volume
$86.39K
Liquidity
$52.09K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
8%
Best ask
8.5%
Spread
0.5%
Last trade
8.5%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 8.3% Current quote
No 91.8% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
Unavailable
Depth
148,587.64 / 598,333.64

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%58,295
0.2%23,695.56
0.3%350.87
0.4%1,550
0.5%18.03
1%500
1.1%5.2
1.4%1,311.11

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%317,007.8
99.8%12.03
99.7%10,000
99.5%30,000
99.4%6.15
99.3%108,251.72
99%500
98.8%10,800

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 8.5% 250 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 8.5% 191.94 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    No 91.3% 60 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 8.8% 102.61 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 8.8% 2,402.52 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    No 90.6% 175 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 9.4% 102.02 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    No 90.6% 999.99 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 9.2% 10.87 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 9.1% 49.92 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 9.2% 315.11 shares
  • Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
    Yes 9.2% 50 shares