Polymarket Market

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Live
Probability
6%
Volume
$487.6K
Liquidity
$54.01K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Best bid
6%
Best ask
7%
Spread
1%
Last trade
6%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 6.5% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
1%
Best ask
99%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
98%
Last trade
6%
Depth
62,991.34 / 238,775.22

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
1%7,333
2%19,341.15
3%6,502.09
4%3,496.4
5%20,010.02
6%6,308.68

Asks

PriceSize
99%50,007.9
98%34,809.79
95%25,175.24
93%32,252.17
92%6.36
91%9,333.33
90%900
86%7,300

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 26.67 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 200 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 1.17 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 2,000 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 1,354 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 7.44 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 38.14 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 14.29 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 222.5 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 2,000 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 82.5 shares
  • Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 28.57 shares