Polymarket Market

Will Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference?

President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to hold his second news conference since winning the election in November on Tuesday morning at his Florida residence and club, Mar-a-Lago (see: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/07/us/trump-news) . This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tariff" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty imposed by a government on imported goods. If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Probability

100%

Volume

$129.9

Ends

Jan 7, 2025

Best bid

99.9%

Best ask

100%

Spread

0.1%

Last trade

100%