Polymarket Market

Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Live
Probability
5.2%
Volume
$1.96K
Liquidity
$16.65K
Ends
Sep 20, 2026
Best bid
5.3%
Best ask
7.7%
Spread
2.4%
Last trade
5.2%

Outcomes

Market outcomes

Yes 6.5% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Live pricing

Pricing and liquidity

Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.

Best bid
0.1%
Best ask
99.9%
Midpoint
50%
Spread
99.8%
Last trade
5.2%
Depth
80,756.7 / 136,173.33

Price history

Waiting for price history

History unavailable

Bids

PriceSize
0.1%38,054
0.2%40,666
0.7%900
2.7%8.5
4.5%27
4.8%50
5%675
5.1%335

Asks

PriceSize
99.9%12,090
99.8%7,500
99.7%10,000
99.6%5,000
99.4%2,500
99%1,250
98%7,550
97%500

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 5.2% 2.38 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    No 94.9% 45.91 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    No 94.9% 50 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    No 94.9% 75 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 8.4% 119.11 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    No 95.9% 2.7 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 4.9% 60.86 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 4.6% 5 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 7.8% 62.5 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 8.5% 6.81 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    No 91.5% 10 shares
  • Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
    Yes 8.5% 9.82 shares