Polymarket Market
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Live
- Probability
- 7%
- Volume
- $2.65K
- Liquidity
- $6K
- Ends
- Jan 29, 2027
- Best bid
- 5.1%
- Best ask
- 8.9%
- Spread
- 3.8%
- Last trade
- 7%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 93%
- Depth
- 55,536.48 / 74,802.47
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 40,730 |
| 0.2% | 11,676 |
| 0.3% | 1,947.1 |
| 0.4% | 428.57 |
| 2% | 458 |
| 2.1% | 137.4 |
| 3.1% | 65 |
| 3.4% | 25 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 262.46 |
| 99.7% | 10,000 |
| 99.6% | 26,000 |
| 99.5% | 7,806 |
| 99% | 2,000 |
| 98.5% | 13.3 |
| 98.4% | 7.18 |
| 95.4% | 3,496.43 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 7% 5 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 7% 5 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 6.8% 5 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 97.9% 80 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 97.4% 75 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 97.9% 50 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 98% 42 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 11.7% 34.25 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 5.5% 82.67 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 94.6% 1.09 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No 97.3% 1.1 shares
- Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 3.1% 38.8 shares