Polymarket Market
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Live
- Probability
- 5.2%
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Liquidity
- $70.02K
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2026
- Best bid
- 5.2%
- Best ask
- 5.3%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Last trade
- 5.2%
Outcomes
Market outcomes
Live pricing
Pricing and liquidity
Current bid, ask, midpoint, spread, and market depth for this outcome.
- Best bid
- 0.1%
- Best ask
- 99.9%
- Midpoint
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Last trade
- 94.7%
- Depth
- 1,126,987.59 / 395,128.25
Price history
Waiting for price history
History unavailable
Bids
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 815,873.97 |
| 0.2% | 97,370.23 |
| 0.3% | 63,760.08 |
| 0.4% | 40,861.79 |
| 0.5% | 26,628.09 |
| 0.6% | 12,665.98 |
| 0.7% | 12,982.63 |
| 0.8% | 5,991.61 |
Asks
| Price | Size |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 22,016.52 |
| 99.8% | 5,014.09 |
| 99.7% | 40,000 |
| 99.6% | 2,506.17 |
| 99.5% | 30,000 |
| 99.4% | 9.7 |
| 99% | 53,375 |
| 98.9% | 2,000 |
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.7% 5.25 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 94.8% 5.25 shares