No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.51K
- Potential profit
- $7.51K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
FarAhead
0x00027ec17e9a054f06878b2c3d8722556d3056c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $426.07
- Realized PnL
- -$6.23
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $264.13
- Potential profit
- $253.83
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $63.85
- Potential payout
- $236.48
- Potential profit
- $172.63
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $13.85
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $18.02
- Potential payout
- $190.65
- Potential profit
- $172.63
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $182.36
- Potential profit
- $172.42
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $34.95
- Potential payout
- $170.48
- Potential profit
- $135.53
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $25.03
- Potential payout
- $166.84
- Potential profit
- $141.82
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $105.26
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.29
- Potential payout
- $98.21
- Potential profit
- $86.92
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $26.9
- Potential payout
- $94.4
- Potential profit
- $67.51
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $58.69
- Potential payout
- $92.42
- Potential profit
- $33.73
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $13.69
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $11.72
- Potential payout
- $90.17
- Potential profit
- $78.45
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $19.13
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $67.83
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $76.67
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $66.1
- Potential profit
- $52.55
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$6.45
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $33.61
- Potential payout
- $57.45
- Potential profit
- $23.84
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $13.61
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $24.21
- Potential payout
- $53.8
- Potential profit
- $29.59
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.49
- Potential profit
- $39.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $28.99
- Potential payout
- $37.41
- Potential profit
- $8.42
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.45
- Potential profit
- $36.45
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $26.96
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $25.89
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$8.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
Y
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Y
Yes position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 39.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.31
Y
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$14.89
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?No 28% 35.71 shares
- Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes 5.5% 182.36 shares
- Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.8% 264.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 25 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 20.16 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 5.5% 403.1 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 23.25 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 333.33 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 7% 43.47 shares