No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.99
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Polymarket Trader
kkua
0x00083b7bd0c24c850e5511a1c583acd250f72fcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15
- Realized PnL
- $7.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US gain more than 250,000 jobs in November?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Seahawks position
Texans vs. Seahawks
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will 'Transformers One' gross less than $35m opening weekend?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Another record low Biden approval rating in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
OpenAI browser by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Alan Keating VPIP above 70%? - Million Dollar Game Day 4
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Ye banned on X in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will 'Transformers One' gross less than $35-42m opening weekend?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Israel election called before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Netanyahu meet with MBS before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 3.16 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?Yes 79% 1.27 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 13.25 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 95% 2.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 98.4% 2.03 shares
- First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold 99.3% 2.01 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes 75% 1.41 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No 98.9% 2.02 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 94% 1.72 shares
- Will Meta (META) close above $520 end of November?Yes 98.7% 1.01 shares