Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $41.41K
- Potential payout
- $51.44K
- Potential profit
- $10.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$559.03
Polymarket Trader
0x00090E8b4FA8F88dc9C1740E460Dd0F670021D43-1758503238489
0x00090e8b4fa8f88dc9c1740e460dd0f670021d43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.05K
- Realized PnL
- $72.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.6K
- Potential payout
- $23.3K
- Potential profit
- $19.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$58.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.42K
- Potential profit
- $11.42K
- User PnL
- -$7.19K
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.25K
- Potential profit
- $10.25K
- User PnL
- -$7.82K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$892.49
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $527.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $329.02
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$157.5
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $310.55
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$495.82
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $310
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.88K
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $974.26
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$361.33
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $39.05
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$43.07
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $23.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$16.75
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $995.07
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $182.53
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $272.06
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $958.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $775.21
- Potential payout
- $885.96
- Potential profit
- $110.74
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $39.87
Yes position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$251.8
No position
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $353.12
- Potential payout
- $368.21
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $19.15
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $348.95
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $6.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.06
- Potential profit
- $204.06
- User PnL
- -$109.7
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.18
- Potential profit
- $146.18
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $107.53
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.5% 3,749.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.5% 8,867.68 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.5% 53,099.95 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 1,084.38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.6% 15,050 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp 68.6% 145.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETUp 53.4% 77.92 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown 50.3% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 84.7% 1,082.08 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 77.3% 1,227.09 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.1% 200.1 shares