Polymarket Trader

lmz74108520

0x000aa96d64349e9e3c38c094bddc9016d4a8365f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.2
Realized PnL: $2.24
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.1

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Cabo Verde leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

No 94% 5 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 95% 5 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.2% 5 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 5 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?

No 94% 5 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.2% 5 shares
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

No 94.3% 5 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

No 91% 5 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 95% 5 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?

No 94.4% 5 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

No 91% 5 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

No 92% 5 shares