Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Grokius
0x0013667ceb2474c99c1a406a1bef55c8cbad3c30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $11.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.2K
- Potential profit
- $6.2K
- User PnL
- -$18.56
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.41K
- User PnL
- -$94.22
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$239.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6AM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5PM ET
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will India win Intervision 2025?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11PM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 11AM ET
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$551
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$23.22
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$150
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$276.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$65.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- User PnL
- -$249.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2AM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$135
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11PM ET
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$250
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9AM ET
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$250.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1AM ET
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- User PnL
- -$170
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$67.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1PM ET
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$43.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12PM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$236.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1PM ET
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1AM ET
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.08
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5AM ET
Ends Sep 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.71
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460.18
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.1
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.84
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1AM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.5
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.57
No position
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?
Ends Jun 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.8
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11PM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.96
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $275.31
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.96
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $115,500 on September 11 at 8PM ET?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7AM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8AM ET
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $212.56
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.63
Yes position
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 1% 200 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 14% 142.99 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes 19% 310.86 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Yes 3.2% 310.87 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 20?No 5.3% 94.34 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 0.7% 153.67 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 20?Yes 0.3% 391.1 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22?Yes 2.1% 191.64 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.3% 279.52 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9AM ETUp 4% 376.5 shares