No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$57
Polymarket Trader
jnomdae
0x0013be9a0880d7882c1ed6a50d8ea1e3e3e54e39
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $601.55
- Realized PnL
- $84.49
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $58.92
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$81.63
Yes position
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$87.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $626.66
- Potential profit
- $626.66
- User PnL
- -$381.76
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $579.35
- Potential profit
- $579.06
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$26.21
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $209.43
- Potential payout
- $505.26
- Potential profit
- $295.83
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $69.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $96
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $104
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.3%
- Current value
- $49.99
- Potential payout
- $164.98
- Potential profit
- $114.99
- Multiplier
- 3.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $49.42
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $66.86
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $46.91
- Potential payout
- $114.41
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $27.86
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $79.29
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $62.74
- Potential payout
- $70.1
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.92
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.08
No position
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47
Bucks position
Bulls vs. Bucks
Ends Nov 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Jazz
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Heat position
Heat vs. Hornets
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Rockets position
Pacers vs. Rockets
Ends Nov 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Wizards
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Wednesday?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Cavaliers position
Pelicans vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Pacers position
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Suns
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Heat position
Bucks vs. Heat
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Timberwolves position
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Cavaliers position
Hawks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Browns
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.1
No position
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?
Ends Dec 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 70.1 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 37.8% 132.29 shares
- Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?Yes 43.7% 114.41 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 24.4% 164.23 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 24% 208.74 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 43% 116.28 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 30.3% 164.98 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 107.14 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 50% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.9% 107.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 768.46 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.4% 472.22 shares