No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Polymarket Trader
ktxaerik
0x002a711fad7e4e73cc57b44d0512f60774f374c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.86
- Realized PnL
- $71.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- User PnL
- -$3.54
No position
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $3.78
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- User PnL
- -$3.48
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $2.96
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.98
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $1.42
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $1.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 97.2% 1.03 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?Yes 99.8% 2,341.39 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?Yes 99.6% 600 shares
- Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?Yes 87% 2.79 shares
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 85% 4.16 shares
- OPEC dissolves in 2026?No 91% 3.78 shares
- Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?No 96.2% 1.83 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No 98.1% 4.08 shares
- Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?Yes 91% 3.29 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.9% 2.96 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?No 98.2% 4.68 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No 92% 4.89 shares