Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 32.4%
- Current value
- $8.09K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $16.91K
- Multiplier
- 3.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.41K
Polymarket Trader
ThePortrait
0x002dcd37b0b8fa8db98236e599fe1b90d6272561
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.32K
- Realized PnL
- $46.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.7%
- Current value
- $16.91K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $8.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $4.41K
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$538.32
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.78K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $555
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$177.38
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $142.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $146.5
No position
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $521.03
- Potential payout
- $585.42
- Potential profit
- $64.4
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $92.03
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $442.93
- Potential profit
- $442.49
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.28
No position
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $63.08
- Potential payout
- $66.83
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.32
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $29.91
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $11.77
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.29
No position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36K
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 60 and 65 million views on week 1?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 13% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 13.8% 2,488.45 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 20.2% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 25,000 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes 2.6% 442.93 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes 9% 113.26 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 18.7% 60.2 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 18.9% 130 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 99.8% 1,432.85 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes 99.6% 20,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 75% 999.98 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.5% 913.64 shares